
Who will win the American League in 2016? L.A. Daily News columnist Mark Whicker breaks down the league.
AL WEST
TEXAS RANGERS
2015 Record: 88-74
Wins, last 5 years: 88, 67, 91, 93, 96
Rank in 2015 Runs: 3rd
Runs Allowed: 13th
Manager: Jeff Banister
Rotation: Cole Hamels, Derek Holland, Colby Lewis, Martin Perez, A.J. Griffin.
Bullpen: Keone Kela, Tom Wilhelmsen, Jake Diekman, Sam Dyson, Tony Baette, Andrew Faulkner.
Closer: Shawn Tolleson
Lineup: 1B Mitch Moreland, 2B Roughned Odor, SS Elvin Andrus, 3B Adrian Beltre, DH Prince Fielder, C Robinson Chirinos, LF Ian Desmond, CF DeLino DeShields, RF Shin-Soo Choo.
DL P Yu Darvish, P Taer Scheppers, OF Josh Hamilton.
Fun Fact; Hamels was 7-0 in his last 10 starts.
Best Case: Darvish comes back in mid-May with his usual stuff.
Worst Case: Tolleson’s big 2015 tus out to be a mirage.
Forecast: First. Depth will make the difference in a yearlong race with Houston.
HOUSTON ASTROS
2015 Record: 86-76
Wins, last 5 years: 86, 70, 51, 55, 56
Rank in 2015 Runs: 5th
Runs Allowed: 1st
Manager: A.J. Hinch
Rotation: Dallas Keuchel, Collin McHugh, Doug Fister, Michael Fiers, Scott Feldman.
Bullpen: Ken Giles, Will Harris, Tony Sipp, Josh Fields, Pat Neshek, Neal Cotts, Wandy Rodriguez..
Closer: Luke Gregerson
Lineup: 1B Tyler White 2B Jose Altuve, SS Carlos Correa, 3B Luis Valbuena,DH Preston Tucker C Jason Castro, LF Colby Rasmus, CF Carlos Gomez, Rf George Springer
DL: P Lance McCullers, C/DH Evan Gattis.
Fun Fact: Rookie of the Year Correa played 99 games and was second on the team in RBIs.
Best Case: Giles, who struck out 11.2 batters per nine iings, and Gregerson shorten the games.
Worst Case: Astros don’t improve their 33-49 road record.
Forecast: Second. More experience, better bullpen, fewer strikeouts add up to another playoff spot.
SEATTLE MARINERS
2015 record: 76-86
Wins, last 5 years: 76, 87, 71, 75, 67
Rank in Runs Scored: 13th
Runs Allowed: 11th
Manager: Scott Servais
Rotation: Felix Heandez, Hisonori Iwakuma, Taijuan Walker, Wade Miley, Nick Kas.
Bullpen: Joaquin Benoit, Tony Zych, Mike Montgomery, David Rollins, Vidal Nuno, Nick Vincent.
Closer: Steve Cishek.
Lineup: 1B Adam Lind, 2B Robinson Cano, SS Ketel Marte, 3B Kyle Seager, C Chris Iaetta/Steve Clevenger, DH Nelson Cruz, LF Nori Aoki, CF Leonys Martin, RF Seth Smith.
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DL: P Charlie Furbush, P Evan Scribner.
Fun Fact: Cruz is the only AL player with back-to-back 40-homer seasons.
Best Case: Servais’ managerial debut goes better than most people think.
Worst Case; Jerry Dipoto’s latest bullpen makeover backfires.
Forecast: Third. A powerful rotation lifts all boats.
ANGELS
2015 record: 85-77
Wins, last 5 years: 85, 98, 79, 89, 86
AL Rank In Runs: 12th
Runs Allowed: 6th
Manager: Mike Scioscia
Rotation: Garrett Richards, Andrew Heaney, Matt Shoemaker, Hector Santiago.
Bullpen: Joe Smith, Feando Salas, Mike Morin, Jose Alvarez, Cory Rasmus, Greg Mahle, Cam Bedrosian.
Closer; Huston Street
Lineup: 1B Albert Pujols, 2B Johy Giavotella, SS Andrelton Simmons, 3B Yunel Escobar, DH Chris Cron, LF Craig Gentry/Daniel Nava, CF Mike Trout, RF Kyle Calhoun, C Carlos Perez/Geovany Soto.
DL: P Jered Weaver, P Tyler Skaggs, P C.J. Wilson
Fun Fact: For Trout’s career, his OPS is .962 on the road, .949 at home.
Best Case: Richards has a Cy Young-caliber season.
Worst Case: Angel left fielders have worst production in league.
Forecast: Fourth, as new GM Billy Eppler tries to grow a farm system.
OAKLAND A’S
2015 record: 68-94
Wins, last 5 years: 68, 88, 96, 94, 74
Rank in Runs Scored: 11th
Runs Allowed: 12th
Manager: Bob Melvin
Rotation: Soy Gray, Rich Hill, Chris Bassitt, Felix Doubront, Kendal Graveman. ,
Bullpen: Ryan Madson, Liam Hendriks, John Axford, Mark Rzepczynski, Ryan Dull, Feando Rodriguez.
Closer: Sean Doolittle
Lineup: 1B: Yonder Alonso, 2B Jed Lowrie, SS Marcus Semien, 3B Day Valenzia,
DH Coco Crisp/Billy Butler, C Stephen Vogt, LF Khris Davis, CF Billy Bus, RF Josh Reddick.
DL: P Heandez Alvarez, P R.J. Alvarez, P Jarrod Parker.
Fun Fact: Semien had 35 errors, 11 more than anyone else in the AL. Lawrie was second with 24.
Best Case: Bus takes up where he left off as a rookie.
Worst Case: There’s too much mileage on the vets in the bullpen.
Forecast. Fifth, but a healthy Doolittle could improve that.
AL CENTRAL
KANSAS CITY ROYALS
2015 Record: 95-67
Wins, last 5 years 95, 89, 86, 72, 71
Rank in Runs Scored: 6th
Runs Allowed: 3rd
Manager: Ned Yost
Rotation: Edinson Volquez, Yordany Ventura, Ian Keedy, Kris Medlen, Chris Young.
Bullpen: Joakim Soria, Luke Hochevar, Kelvin Herrera, Day Duffy, Dillon Gee, Brian Fly.
Closer: Wade Davis
Lineup: 1B Eric Hosmer, 2B Omar Infante, SS Alcides Escobar, 3B Mike Moustakas, C Salvador Perez, DH Kendrys Morales, LF Alex Gordon, CF Lorenzo Cain, RF Paulo Orlando.
DL: OF Jarrod Dyson.
Fun Fact: Davis faced 251 hitters last year. Fourteen of them had extra-base hits.
Best Case: Keedy does a reasonably good impression of Johy Cueto.
Worst Case: Heavy iings finally take a toll on bullpen.
Forecast: First, assuming they retain their late-iing magic, which isn’t magic by now.
MINNESOTA TWINS
2015 Record: 83-79
Wins, last 5 years: 83, 70, 66, 66, 63
Rank in Runs Scored: 8th
Runs Allowed: 9th
Manager: Paul Molitor
Rotation: Ervin Santana, Kyle Gibson, Phil Hughes, Tommy Milone, Ricky Nolasco.
Bullpen: Kevin Jepsen, Trevor May, Casey Fien, Feando Abad, Ryan Pressly, Michael Tonkin.
Closer: Glen Perkins
Lineup: 1B Joe Mauer, 2B Brian Dozier, SS Eduardo Escobar, 3B Trevor Plouffe, C Kurt Suzuki, DH Byung Ho Park, LF Eddie Rosario, CF Byron Buxton, RF Miguel Sano.
Fun Fact: Sano played 80 games and had 36 extra-base hits.
Best Case: Santana, who gave up nine eaed runs in his last seven starts, keeps it up.
Worst Case: Buxton doesn’t fulfill the hype.
Forecast: Second. A deep well of young talent here.
DETROIT TIGERS
2015 Record: 74-87
Wins, last 5 years: 74, 90, 93, 88, 95
Rank in Runs Scored: 9th
Runs Allowed: 15th
Manager: Brad Ausmus
Rotation: Justin Verlander, Jordan Zimmerma, Anibal Sanchez, Mike Pelfrey, Shane Greene.
Bullpen: Mark Lowe, Alex Wilson, Josh Wilson, Bruce Rondon, Blaine Hardy, Drew VerHagen, Buck Farmer, Kyle Ryan.
Closer: Francisco Rodriguez
Lineup: 1B Miguel Cabrera, 2B Ian Kinsler, SS Jose Iglesias, 3B Nick Castellanos, C James McCa, DH Victor Martinez, LF Justin Upton, CF Anthony Gose, Rf J.D. Martinez,
DL: OF Cameron Maybin, P Daniel Norris.
Fun Fact: Tigers’ top four starting pitchers won 37 games last year. In 2014 they won 62.
Best Case: Castellanos, McCa and Gose begin to form a young, athletic nucleus.
Worst Case: Verlander’s strong September was a mirage.
Forecast: Third. Tigers had a quietly productive winter..
CLEVELAND INDIANS
2015 Record: 81-80
Wins, last 5 years: 81, 85, 92, 68, 80
Rank in Runs Scored: 11th
Runs Allowed: 4th
Manager: Terry Francona
Rotation: Corey Kluber, Carlos Carrasco, Day Salazar, Cody Anderson, Josh Tomlin.
Bullpen: Bryan Shaw, Zach McAllister, Dan Otero, Trevor Bauer, Jeff Manship, Joba Chamberlain.
Closer: Cody Allen.
Lineup: 1B Mike Napoli, 2B Jason Kipnis, SS Francisco Lindor, 3B Juan Uribe, C Yan Gomes, DH Carlos Santana, LF Rajai Davis, CF Tyler Naquin, RF Marlon Byrd/Collin Cowgill.
DL: OF Michael Brantley, DH Loie Chisenhall.
Fun Fact: A 23rd-round draft, Allen has improved his strikeout rate per nine iings from 11.3 to 11.8 to 12.9.
Best Case: Lindor fulfills great promise shown in 2015.
Worst Case: Indians again have no one with 20 home runs.
Forecast: Fourth. The Tribe is too banged up to avoid a slow start.
CHICAGO WHITE SOX
2015 Record: 76-86
Wins, last 5 years: 76, 73, 63, 85, 79
Rank in Runs Scored: 15th
Runs Allowed: 10th
Manager: Robin Ventura
Rotation: Chris Sale, Carlos Rodon, Jose Quintana, Jordan Danks, Mat Latos.
Bullpen: Nate Jones, Mitch Albers, Zach Duke, Zach Putnam, Dan Jeings, Jeff Petricka.
Closer: David Robertson
Lineup: 1B Jose Abreu, 2B Brett Lawrie, SS Jimmy Rollins, 3B Todd Frazier, C Alex Avila, DH Melky Cabrera, LF Adam Eaton, CF Austin Jackson, RF Avisail Garcia.
Fun Fact: In Cinciati, Frazier hit 10 of his 35 home runs after he won the Home Run Derby at the All-Star Game.
Best Case: Eaton has a better start as leadoff man.
Worst Case: The Sox are as shopwo in the middle field as they appear.
Forecast: Fifth. For baseball excitement in Chicago this season, look north.
AL EAST
BOSTON RED SOX
2015 Record: 78-84
Wins, last 5 years: 78, 71, 97, 69, 90
Rank in Runs Scored: 4th
Runs Allowed: 14th
Manager: John Farrell
Rotation: David Price, Clay Buchholz, Rick Porcello, Joe Kelly, Steven Wright.
Bullpen: Koji Uehara, Junichi Tazawa, Robbie Ross, Tommy Layne, Matt Baes, Noe Ramirez.
Closer: Craig Kimbrel
DL: P Carson Smith, P Eduardo Rodriguez, P Brandon Workman, C Christian Vasquez.
Lineup: 1B Hanley Ramirez, 2B Dustin Pedroia, SS Xander Bogaerts, 3B Travis Shaw, DH David Ortiz, C Blake Swihart, LF Brock Holt, CF Jackie Bradley Jr., RF Mookie Betts.
Fun Fact: At 22, Bogaerts hit .320, second in the league.
Best Case: Ortiz, who led the league by getting an RBi in 12.1 percent of his plate appearances, has a rousing goodbye.
Worst Case: Smith, brilliant in Seattle, can’t get back to set up Kimbrel.
Forecast: First. Younger, deeper and coming off a blazing September.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS
2015 Record: 93-69
Wins, last 5 years: 93, 83, 74, 73, 81
Rank in Runs Scored: 1st
Runs Allowed: 5th
Manager: John Gibbons
Rotation: Marcus Stroman, R.A. Dickey, J.A. Happ, Aaron Sanchez.
Bullpen: Drew Storen, Brett Cecil, Ryan Tepera, Jesse Chavez, Gavin Floyd, Joe Biagini, Aold Leon.
Closer: Roberto Osuna, Ezequiel Carrera.
Lineup: 1B Chris Colabello/Justin Smoak, 2B Ryan Goins, SS Troy Tulowitzki, 3B Josh Donaldson, C Russell Martin, DH Edwin Encaacion, LF Michael Saunders, CF Kevin Pillar, RF Jose Bautista.
DL: 2B Devon Travis, P Marco Estrada, P Aaron Loup.
Fun Fact: Toronto averaged 5.50 runs, 0.78 more per game than second-place New York.
Best Case: Bautista and Encaacion, who led the AL with an RBI every 4.8 plate appearances, keep feeding off each other.
Worst Case: Tulowitzki can’t summon a bounce-back year.
Forecast: Second. Strong wild-card contender at the very least.
NEW YORK YANKEES
2015 Record: 87-75
Wins, last 5 years: 87, 84, 85, 95, 97
Rank in Runs Scored: 2nd
Runs Allowed: 11th
Manager: Joe Girardi
Rotation: Michael Pineda, Masahiro Tanaka, Nathan Eovaldi, Luis Severino, CC Sabathia.
Bullpen: Dellin Betances, Chasen Shreve, Ivan Nova, Kirby Yates, James Pazos, Johy Barbato, Luis Cessa.
Closer: Andrew Miller
Lineup: 1B Mark Teixeira, 2B Starlin Castro, SS Didi Gregorius, 3B Chase Headley, C Brian McCa, DH Alex Rodriguez, LF Brett Gardner, CF Jacoby Ellsbury, RF Carlos Beltran.
Suspended List: Aroldis Chapman (until May 9).
Fun Fact: Yankees scored six or more runs 10 times in Eovaldi’s 27 starts, which explains his 14-3 record.
Best Case: They get one more big year out of Rodriguez (33 homers at age 39).
Worst Case: No starting pitcher gives them 170 iings, as happened last year.
Forecast: Third. Once Miller, Betances and Chapman are together, Yanks will play a lot of six-iing games.
TAMPA BAY RAYS
2015 Record: 80-82
Wins, last 5 years: 80, 77, 92, 90, 91
Rank in Runs Scored: 14th
Runs Allowed: 2nd
Manager; Kevin Cash
Rotation: Chris Archer, Jake Odorizzi, Drew Smyly, Matt Moore, Erasmo Ramirez.
Bullpen: Xavier Cedeno, Day Farquhar, Ey Romero, Steve Geltz, Ryan Webb, Andrew Bellatti, Matt Andriese.
Closer: Alex Colome
Lineup: 1B Logan Morrison, 2B Logan Forsythe, SS Brad Miller, 3B Evan Longoria, C Curt Casali, DH Corey Dickerson LF Desmond Jeings, CF Kevin Kiermaier, RF Steven Souza Jr.
DL: P Brad Boxberger, P Alex Cobb.
Fun Fact: Rays, who finished six games out of the wild card, were 2-13 in extra-iing games.
Best Case: Boxberger, who led the league in saves, is ready to roll when healthy.
Worst Case: Longoria, now 30, continues his slow slide.
Forecast: Fourth. As usual, the offense is not self-evident.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES
2015 Record: 81-81
Wins, last 5 years: 81, 96, 85, 93, 69
Rank in Runs Scored: 7th
Runs Allowed: 7th
Manager: Buck Showalter
Rotation: Chris Tillman, Yovani Gallardo, Ubaldo Jimenez, Mike Wright, Tyler Wilson.
Bullpen: Darren O’Day, Brian Matusz, T.J. McFarland, Jason Garcia, Chaz Roe, Brian Brach, Mychal Givens.
Closer: Zach Britton
Lineup: 1B Chris Davis, 2B Jonathan Schoop, SS JJ Hardy, 3B May Machado, C Matt Wieters, DH Pedro Alvarez, LF Nolan Reimold,/Joey Rickard, CF Adam Jones, RF Mark Trumbo.
DL: P Kevin Gausman.
Fun Fact: Machado was the only player in baseball to play 162 games last year.
Best Case: The HO-scale dimensions of Camden Yards revitalize the home run stroke of Alvarez.
Worst Case: The bullpen strains to pitch all the iings left by the starters.
Forecast: Fifth. Difficult to contend when you have to win 8-6.
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نویسنده: جمشید رضایی